US Credit Barometer – June 2026

20th July, 2026 | US Credit Barometer
Authored by Greg Clerkson

May 2026 data

Market Overview: Equities and Bonds Read Different Scripts

Against the backdrop of roaring equity markets, bonds seemed to be reading a different script in May. Although interest rates were largely unchanged at month end, there was significant variability throughout the month as fears of a sustained energy shock pushed interest rates higher before falling again as ceasefire talks between the U.S. and Iran gained momentum and the spike in oil prices reversed.

Credit spreads continued to take cues from equity markets and remained tight throughout the month with very little volatility. The resultant index performance at the end of May was universally strong: the Bloomberg US Corporate Total Return Unhedged was up 0.8% while the Intermediate Credit Indices rose 0.3%. European credit outpaced its US counterparts with a 0.9% gain on the month. High Yield markets also rebounded strongly on the month with the Bloomberg Global High Yield index up 0.7% and the Bloomberg Pan-European High Yield index up 0.9%.

Source: Bloomberg as of May 29, 2026

Yields and Hedging Costs

Despite spreads rebounding to tight levels, all-in yields remain at attractive levels for investors, up between 50–60 bps from the beginning of the year. The Persian Gulf conflict has caused forward interest rate expectations to move, with the market now pricing in interest rate hikes in Europe. This narrowing of the rate differential with the U.S. has continued to push the headwind of hedging U.S. Dollars for European investors down to 1.48% at the end of May from 1.54% at the end of April.

Source: Bloomberg as of May 29, 2026

The iMGP US Core Plus Fund: An Attractive Opportunity

The careful credit selection within the iMGP US Core Plus Fund has resulted in a portfolio producing yields in line with the US Corporate Index: however, it does so at almost half the duration. With absolute yields now above 5%, we believe the fund represents an attractive opportunity. For European investors, the declining cost of currency hedging further enhances the appeal of the asset class, which offers both diversification benefits and compelling levels of yield in excess of those available from domestic markets.

iMGP US Core Plus Fund Bloomberg Euro Corporate Unhedged EUR Bloomberg US Corporate Total Return Value Unhedged USD Bloomberg U.S. Intermediate Credit TR Index Value Unhedged Bloomberg Swiss Franc Aggregate Total Return Index Value Unhedged CHF
Yield to Worst 5.11 3.48 5.13 4.75 0.74
Yield to Worst (EUR Hedged) 3.62 N/A 3.64 3.26 3.09
Yield to Worst (CHF Hedged) 1.27 1.31 1.29 0.87 N/A
Modified Duration 3.77 4.60 6.93 4.19 7.26
Market Value N/A 2,995,259 7,552,796 6,046,759 467,275
Average Rating Baa2/Baa3 A3/Baa1 A3/Baa1 A2/A3 Aa1/Aa2
# Securities 76 4,116 8,746 6,136 1,060

Source: Bloomberg as of May 29, 2026

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Authored by Greg Clerkson

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