iMGP Berkshire Dividend Growth ETF First Quarter 2026 Commentary


The iMGP Berkshire Dividend Growth ETF returned 2.50% (NAV return) in the first quarter of 2026 compared to 2.10% for the Russell 1000 Value Index. The Morningstar U.S. Large Value category had a return of 1.51% over the same period.

Gross Expense Ratio: 0.55% Net Expense Ratio 0.55%
Since Inception Date: 6/29/2023
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Quarterly Portfolio Manager Commentary
2026 is off to a wild start—to say the least! We will unpack the year’s events soon enough, but we believe dividend stocks “passed the test” again. We continue to see their combination of steady cash flow, generally strong balance sheets and reasonable valuations looking to provide solid downside protection in a volatile market.
How Did 2026 Unfold, and Where Do We Go From Here?
It’s been anything but a straight line, and the headline index numbers don’t tell the whole story.
Act I: Too Much Enthusiasm
Early 2026 picked up where 2025 left off—investors were infatuated with growth investing and the latest tech paradigm. AI names were being stuffed into everything: indexes, “value” funds, moderate allocation models. The market was beginning to broaden after a massive AI-driven run, but crowding in mega-cap tech and AI remained very real.
Act II: The Quiet Rotation
Then, without much fanfare, things started to shift. Value stocks began to rally. Energy, staples, industrials, and materials posted double-digit returns through the end of February. Lower valuation international stocks continued their upward pace. Value peaked, up ~7% the Friday before Iranian airstrikes began, while growth was down ~5% over the same period. The growth selloff—fueled by a rotation out of frothy AI and mega-cap growth and jitters in private credit—appeared to just be getting underway. (Source: Bloomberg)
Act III: Iran—And the Plot Twist Nobody Scripted
On February 28th, strikes on Iran sparked the ongoing conflict. Oil jumped above $100. The threat of sustained high prices pushed stagflation concerns to the forefront, and the 10 -year Treasury surged from 3.95% to over 4.40%. The dollar strengthened as inflation control became a priority, removing an easy-money tailwind. A stronger dollar, in turn, pressured international stocks that had been benefiting from rising local prices and currency appreciation.
Sector Reaction
Predictably, the oil and energy sector led the quarter, rising 30-40%. Utilities, a classic defensive sector, held up well but face potential headwinds from higher interest rates. Consumer defensive stocks, which were strong before the strikes, faltered later in the quarter amid fears of sticky inflation, rising input costs, and soft demand. They still ended positive for the quarter.
Technology stocks were hit hard, with several tech names down 20% or more. High starting valuations played a role, but the bigger factor has been AI-driven disruption, particularly from companies like Anthropic. AI is beginning to automate core functions across software, consulting, and data services—tasks these companies built entire businesses around. In many ways, the software industry has almost “invented” a toolset that now threatens to devour its own market.
Financials, a top-performing sector last year, struggled this quarter. Geopolitical uncertainty and recession fears contributed, but the bigger factor has been the proliferation of private credit. Over the past years, hedge funds and other non-bank lenders have stepped in to fund everything from LBOs to working capital, often with looser underwriting. While some see these non-bank entities as an efficient capital source, others worry loans are being made to borrowers who wouldn’t meet traditional bank standards. High-profile failures have raised questions: What are the underlying loans worth? Is there enough transparency? Was capital simply deployed to generate sponsor fees? This $1.5-$2 trillion question will need resolution regardless of the market outcome.
Berkshire Dividend Strategy: Company Highlights
Some holdings mirrored broader sector trends—our energy positions and defense-related holdings rose sharply. Others were shaped by individual company developments.
The portfolio saw numerous dividend increases in the past three months: Dell (+20%), Schwab (+18%), Waste Management (+14.5%). Pepsi, Chevron, Chubb, and Walmart raised dividends 4-6%. Appreciation was notable from Hershey (lower input costs), Honeywell (successful spin-off), and Deere (increasing recurring revenue versus equipment sales). (Source: Bloomberg)
Conversely, some companies faced unique headwinds. Qualcomm, down roughly 24%, struggled with memory supply and diversification. Microsoft, down roughly 23%, faced valuation pressure amid a technology rotation. Abbott Labs issued weak guidance. General Mills wrestled with higher input costs and soft demand. (Source: Bloomberg)
So, What Do You Do with All of This?
We cannot predict whether the Iran conflict will be short-lived or prolonged, and we won’t try to handicap it. We continue to advise investors to remain invested in high-quality businesses that can compound capital even in difficult environments—especially those paying dividends. The income machine doesn’t stop because headlines are loud. Companies that write checks every quarter—and raise them—are exactly the businesses built for this environment. We remain laser-focused on upgrading portfolio companies for the long term and will look to use volatility to our advantage.
So, What Do You Do with All of This?
Q1 ’26 is a reminder of what’s been true for some time… Every year brings a new reason to sit on the sidelines. This chart pairs each year’s headline risk with the market’s worst drawdown—and shows how Berkshire’s dividend income grew through it all.

| Industrials | 18.1% |
| Information Technology | 17.7% |
| Financials | 16.6% |
| Consumer Staples | 11.3% |
| Energy | 10.3% |
| Health Care | 9.6% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 6.0% |
| Materials | 3.6% |
| Utilities | 3.0% |
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